Jay County
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #80
New Haven Regional Rank #14
Delta Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational New Haven Classic Winchester Invitational Allen County Athletic Conf. Delta Sectional New Haven Regional
Date 8/18 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 847 899 1,000 990 1,108 959 927 822 805
Team Adjusted Rating 899 1,000 990 1,108 959 927 822 805
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational New Haven Classic Winchester Invitational Allen County Athletic Conf. Delta Sectional New Haven Regional
439  Ava May 9 21:23 22:57 22:56 22:41 22:35 22:39 22:10 21:24 21:11
569  Abby Fifer 9 21:46 22:39 21:47 22:06 22:34 22:07 21:40 21:42 21:34
675  Jessie Homan 9 22:01 21:24 22:29 22:25 22:55 22:31 22:17 21:42 21:49
762  Alexis Sibray 11 22:13 22:06 22:17 23:05 22:33 23:09 22:24 22:19 21:50 22:19
883  Brooklyn Byrum 9 22:31 21:29 22:12 22:33 23:02 22:05 22:48 22:52 22:19
Paityn Wendel 11 23:39 25:41 25:11 26:10 24:25 24:43 24:03 24:01 23:27
Natalie Carreno 12 23:55 23:45 24:21 23:41 23:33 23:53
Lizzy Brunswick 9 24:01 24:45 25:03 24:12 25:12 24:09 24:27 25:37 23:48




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 0.0%
Regionals 100% 15.0 418 0.1 0.2 1.3 6.3 16.6 23.4 16.3 10.9 9.7 7.5 5.6 1.8 0.3
Sectionals 100% 2.0 98 3.7 95.2 1.0 0.1 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ava May 100% 73.4 100.0%
Abby Fifer 100% 92.7 100.0%
Jessie Homan 100% 106.4 100.0%
Alexis Sibray 100% 117.2 100.0%
Brooklyn Byrum 100% 135.7 99.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ava May 11.8 0.0 0.6 1.4 2.3 3.3 6.0 9.2 13.2 17.7 16.4 13.0 7.8 4.5 1.8 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1
Abby Fifer 16.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 3.3 7.1 11.2 13.3 13.0 12.8 11.6 8.3 6.9 4.1 3.3 1.1 0.6 0.4
Jessie Homan 19.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.6 4.9 6.7 9.2 9.2 11.5 11.1 12.6 10.1 8.1 5.2 3.3
Alexis Sibray 22.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.9 3.4 4.6 6.4 8.8 10.9 12.8 13.1 11.5 8.7
Brooklyn Byrum 25.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.7 4.4 7.3 10.1 12.7